If the shoe fits, wear it, as the saying goes. Maybe the same
could be said about the jackboot.
At the anniversary ceremonies for the end of World War II on May
9, Russian President Vladimir Putin compared the supposedly
expansionist behavior of the United States to that of Nazi Germany.
In reality, however, it is Russia that's acting out at the moment,
targeting countries previously under Soviet dominance with
increasingly threatening behavior.
The most recent case of Russian bullying is little Estonia, which
has been on the receiving end of major intimidation. The alleged
cause was the removal on April 27 of an unprepossessing bronze
statue of a giant Soviet bronze soldier, located in central Talinn.
It was yet one of those provocative imperial monuments that
Russians liked to leave all over their former empire, and the
decision to move it to a military cemetery seems an eminently
reasonable one.
On the same day, however, Russian-inspired demonstrations,
allegedly in outrage against this putative disrespect of the Soviet
heroes of World War II, broke out across Talinn, resulting in 153
persons being injured and one death. The following day, the
Estonian embassy in Moscow was attacked by an angry mob. Other
Estonian embassies were also targeted, in Helsinki, Oslo,
Stockholm, Riga, Prague, Kiev and Minsk, as well as the Estonian
consulate in St. Petersburg.
At the same time, Russia shut down the rail traffic between
Estonia and Russia, supposedly for repairs on the lines. And a
series of cyber attacks were launched against Internet servers in
Estonia from Russia, which are now being investigated by NATO
experts. Also, Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Ivanov
has advocated a boycott of Estonian goods.
A sense of the Senate resolution in support of Estonia introduced
by Sen. George Voinovich aptly characterizes Russia's behavior:
"... the Senate... condemns any and all efforts to callously
exploit the memory of the victims of the Second World War for
political gain," which is exactly what is happening.
All of this is only too reminiscent of Russian threats against the
Baltic states prior to joining NATO and the European Union, as well
as reminiscent of Russia's attempts to bully Poland and Czech
Republic into going back on their commitment to host a U.S.
missile-defense radar and interceptor site. To their credit, both
the Polish and Czech governments have stood firm, recognizing no
doubt that Russia's recent behavior is the very best argument for
their alliance with the United States.
Does this mean that we are headed for a new Cold War, a question
that is the subject of much debate among nervous Nellies in Europe.
(Disappointingly, at the EU-Russian summit on May 18, German
Chancellor Angela Merkel failed to effectively confront Russia with
its behavior.) Clearly, we have entered a period of Russian
aspiration to dominate its former sphere of influence in Central
and Eastern Europe, as well as a period of competition for
international energy resources, of which Russia possesses a great
many.
This represents a strategic challenge to the United States and its
allies. The new member states of NATO and the EU joined those
institutions of their own free will, indeed with a great sense of
urgency precisely because they feared Russian revanchism. The
United States remains the guarantor of their new-found freedoms,
and has acquired a new set of valuable, loyal allies as a
consequence.
The Russians, for their part, love the fact that Mr. Putin is
making Russia an international player again. They also like his
authoritarian style. In Russia, business is booming, the government
is flush with oil revenue and the economy is growing at 8 percent a
year. Mr. Putin is domestically more popular than any recent
Russian leader.
A complicating factor is that the United States and Russia also
now have extensive business and investment ties. We also have
certain common interests in the fight against international
terrorism. And beyond that, the international system is not binary
in nature today, but far more complex with Europe, China and India
being more assertive players.
For U.S. and European policy toward Russia, it means that we
should not be spooked by the specter of the Cold War and not be
afraid to push back when faced with Russian bullying or attempts to
interfere in U.S. relations with independent allied countries. The
Russian government knows only too well how to play on the fears of
Europe, and we should not let them get away with it.
Helle Dale is director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at the Heritage Foundation.
First appeared in the Washington Times