For the past decade, U.S. lawmakers have put off immigration
reform because nobody could agree on how best to regulate the flow.
They still can't, as Washington's recent sorry scramble to craft a
fix attests. But the stark disparity between job opportunities and
living standards in America and many poor countries has resulted in
such an influx of undocumented aliens (now between 10 million and
12 million, more than half from Mexico) that Congress and the White
House must act.
Success in controlling this tide certainly requires better border
security, stronger workplace enforcement, and a practical
guest-worker process to match prospective laborers with legitimate
employment. Yet there's an equally important -- but neglected --
need. Labor-exporting countries must do more to provide employment
opportunities and access to social mobility for citizens at
home.
In Mexico's case, the good news is that sound fiscal policies, the
North American Free Trade Agreement, and institutional reforms have
kept lots of potential migrants from leaving. The bad news is that
job growth south of the border hasn't been fast enough to absorb
all the new entrants into the labor force.
Mexican Interior Secretary Carlos Abascal Carranza came to
Washington recently with an economic progress report. That is a
welcome change from the rhetoric that President Vicente Fox has
spouted for the past five years: constant reminders that Mexico
should have the right to export its surplus workers to the
U.S.
Fox's first Foreign Secretary, Jorge Castañeda, pushed that
absurd message without regard for America's sovereignty or
Americans' sensitivities. No country exists to take on the problems
of others. But internal conditions can have consequences that
extend across borders. So it should come as no shock that the U.S.
has an interest in Mexico's economic policies and
performance.
Mexico's economy has, in fact, improved under Fox. From 2000 to
2005, annual inflation declined by two-thirds, foreign investment
grew 74%, and the public deficit dropped to zero. Meanwhile, real
wages rose 7%, the sum of Mexicans living under one poverty index
fell 23%, 6 million scholarships now help keep more poor children
in classrooms through high school, and nearly 577,000 jobs were
created in 2005.
Still, almost a million youths enter the Mexican Labor force each
year. So a half million new jobs are simply not enough. Mexico's
minimum wage is $4.50 per day, vs. the minimum $5.15 per hour
stateside. And while more Mexican children are attending school,
the system is still centralized under an inefficient national
ministry and subject to periodic strikes.
Other net labor exporters in our hemisphere are even worse off.
Guatemala and Honduras report poverty rates of close to 75%. In
South America's Andean ridge, from Venezuela to Bolivia, the poor
constitute more than half of the population. Except in Colombia, a
developing trend is to consolidate power within populist
presidencies, ignore the rule of law, and put business under
government's thumb.
The result? Blocked from social mobility at home, Peruvian
entrepreneurs already are choosing the U.S. as a haven for business
startups. Ecuadorians are stowing away in shipping containers to
get to the U.S. or Europe, while one of Venezuela's most popular
Web sites continues to be www.mequieroir.com ("I Want to
Leave").
Backsliding toward statist economies will only make matters worse,
forcing more workers to migrate. That's why the U.S. must urge its
hemispheric neighbors to liberalize economies, cut regulations, and
allow prosperity to spread more broadly across their citizenry.
Mexico has gone partway. Fox's four-year-old Rapid Business
Start-Up System cut red tape for licensing some small firms from 50
days to just 24 hours. But inefficient state monopolies, high
taxes, massive bureaucracy, and a rigid labor code still restrict
job growth.
U.S. officials should remind candidates for the Mexican presidency
and congress this year that any retreat from free-market reforms
will limit opportunities for Mexican workers at home and create
friction between our nations. Beyond that, U.S. lawmakers should
resist the temptation to adopt "silver bullet" reforms like
building a border fence or embracing a guest-worker program. While
these two tacks may be part of a solution, they alone are not
enough. To reduce unauthorized immigration, U.S. policies must also
seek reforms abroad.
Stephen Johnson is senior policy analyst for Latin America in the Davis Institute for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
First Appeared in BusinessWeek Online