While the world dithers over Iran's runaway nuclear (weapons) program, the House International Relations Committee last week called for action against the Tehran regime: It passed the Iran Freedom Support Act by an overwhelming 37-3 margin.
Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), who chairs the Middle East
subcommittee, introduced the bill over a year ago. It punishes Iran
indirectly by directly punishing its various energy partners - both
foreign governments and private businesses. Though not yet
scheduled for a vote by the entire House of Representatives, the
act already has over 350 co-sponsors (out of 435 members) - and
could be on the floor for passage soon. Some 40 senators have
already signed onto a similar Senate bill.
The Bush administration loathes the measure, arguing that it ties
the government's hands in dealing with Iran's atomic intransigence
at the U.N. Security Council. In fact, though, the bill may put
another arrow in the administration's (nearly empty) diplomatic
quiver for addressing Iran's outlaw behavior.
First, take a look at the text of the Iran Freedom Support Act. It
aims to both promote freedom and penalize proliferation by holding
"the current regime in Iran accountable for its threatening
behavior and to support a transition to democracy in Iran." Who can
argue with that?
To that end, the bill would authorize the president to "provide
financial and political assistance" to those who "support
democracy" in Iran, including independent, pro-democracy radio/TV
broadcasting. Hmmm, that seems right in line with the prez's $75
million Iranian democracy initiative . . .
In fact, the Bush administration supports the bill's
democracy-promotion section. But it sees the provisions for
economic sanctions as counterproductive.
The bill revises the 1996 Iran-Libya Sanctions Act (which also
sought to counter both terrorism and proliferation), dropping the
earlier law's penalties against the "new and improved" Libya, while
continuing economic sanctions on anyone that invests more than $20
million in Iran's energy sector. (Except for limited imports of
pistachio, caviar and Persian rugs, U.S. firms are already
prohibited from doing business with Iran, dating back to the 1979
Iranian Revolution and the taking of U.S. embassy hostages.)
The State Department complains that the bill hampers its ability
to "build and maintain an international consensus to confront
Iran's violations collectively," raising tensions with potential
partners and shifting "the focus away from Iran's actions" and onto
American actions.
International Relations Chairman Rep. Henry Hyde (R-Ill.) supports
the proposed law, but is skeptical, too: "By threatening tough
sanctions, not against Iran but against third parties who invest in
Iran's petroleum industry, [the bill] targets our allies. The
approach is divisive and, understandably, our allies have
resisted."
Both State and Hyde make good points, since the bill targets
Japanese, French, Chinese and Russian firms, among others. But the
measure allows the president to waive any sanctions if the White
House deems it to serve the country's national-security
interests.
What the critics overlook is that the mere consideration of the
Iran Freedom Support Act, including all of the congressional drama
that accompanies it, serves the Bush administration's efforts in
dealing with Tehran - and others.
How? First, by dropping the longstanding economic sanctions
against Libya (because Tripoli has ended its quest for WMDs and its
support for terrorism), Congress shows Tehran a potential upside to
ending its hostile relationship with the Washington.
Second, legislative threats are often as effective as signing a
bill into law. For instance, congressional chest-beating by itself
could deter investment in Iran's energy sector, penalizing the
highly centralized Iranian economy, which is heavily dependent on
oil/gas exports (i.e., 20 percent of GNP). (A falloff in foreign
investment would have the added benefit of limiting Tehran's
spending on its own expensive nuclear infrastructure - slowing the
mullahs' quest for atomic weapons.)
Third, the bill gives the U.S. negotiating leverage. The president
can warn our always-reluctant-to-get-tough European "allies" and
our even-less-supportive "friends" in Moscow and Beijing that, even
if he thinks the legislation is ill-advised, he will have no choice
but to sign the wildly popular bill if the mullahs don't make some
serious concessions soon. Call this one: the "Mad Congress"
defense.
Alternatively, if major players like Russia and China come into
line with the U.S.-European position at the U.N. Security Council,
Bush could promise to do everything possible to kill the bill, or,
at a minimum, promise to invoke the waiver.
Now, it's completely understandable that the executive branch
doesn't like the legislative branch playing in its foreign-policy
sandbox. But the Bush administration doesn't have to view the bill
as undermining its effort to deal with Iran.
In fact, if it's smart, our foreign policy team will see the
abundant opportunities in skillfully playing the administration's
"good cop" off the Congress' "bad cop" in advancing American
interests on Iran.
Peter
Brookes is a Heritage Foundation senior fellow. His
book, "A Devil's Triangle: Terrorism, WMD and Rogue States," is
just out.
First appeared in the New York Post