Recently, I got a call
from an ESPN producer preparing to leave for the upcoming Winter
Olympics in Turin, Italy. She wanted to make sure they had current
contact information for security experts - just in case.
A high-profile event, gathering tens of thousands from all over the
world, naturally raises concerns about a terrorist attack. The
recent release of Steven Spielberg's "Munich," a film dealing with
the terrorist killings at the 1972 Summer Olympics, hardly lessens
the anxiety.
Today, however, an Olympic venue is not nearly as attractive a
target as might be assumed. That's a reflection of truly robust
international cooperation on combating terrorism.
Security has been continually pumped up since the 1972 horrors.
After Sept. 11, it went on steroids. The 2002 Salt Lake City, Utah,
Winter Olympics featured an unprecedented, integrated security and
intelligence apparatus organized by Mitt Romney (now governor of
Massachusetts). Salt Lake set the standard.
Alternating the Summer and Winter Olympics every two years, instead
of featuring them both in the same year, has helped a lot as well.
It allows Olympic organizers time to integrate lessons learned and
prepare to ensure that the Winter Games receive the same attention
as the more crowded summer venues.
The result is that the games themselves represent less promising
targets.
Organized terrorist groups seek predictability in planning their
attacks. They have limited means, so when they go in harm's way
they like to know what kind of security they are going to face and
the likely consequences of their strike - both in terms of the
physical damage done and the impact on political views and popular
opinion.
On either score, the Olympics are not a very promising target. As a
one-time event, there are few opportunities to conduct thorough
surveillance. That makes it harder to predict and surmount any
obstacles.
Nor is the international community apt to react positively to any
attack at the Olympics, no matter who is attacked or who does the
attacking. That's why in recent years the only attacks at an
Olympic venue have come from "lone wolves," such as Eric Rudolph's
bombing at the 1996 Atlanta Olympics. They are more lucky than
good. They use a different calculus and tend to take more risks
than a methodical transnational terrorist group.
Still, if the Olympics in Turin are peaceful, safe and
terrorist-free, it won't be by accident. Despite all the wailing
about American "exceptionalism" and public rejections of the notion
that the world should be conducting a war on terrorism, the truth
is that many countries take the threat of transnational terrorist
organizations very seriously. And their actions are far more
aggressive, proactive and cooperative than their rhetoric might
suggest.
Europe offers a case in point. European cooperation on intelligence
and law enforcement matters has been extensive. After Sept. 11, for
example, the European countries established a continentwide arrest
warrant, a powerful anti-terrorist tool that was negotiated and
approved in only a few months.
Yes, an Italian magistrate famously used the warrant to indict 22
suspected CIA agents. That was just a case of grandstanding, though
- part of the general, for-public-consumption silliness
accompanying European complaints about American anti-terrorism
actions. But the public flailing so often administered to the U.S.
by the European press and politicos is cold comfort to the
terrorists who, in practice, have found it much tougher to operate
in Europe in recent years.
Another reason the Olympics will be safer is that America, despite
the thankless rhetoric from Europe, still willingly bears a lion's
share of the burden of providing for European security against
transnational terrorism. For the 2004 Summer Olympics in Greece,
Americans chipped in more $35 million in security assistance and
support, with more than 22 federal agencies and offices
participating in the effort to make both the participants and fans
safe.
Olympic security is like the Olympic Games. It is a world-class
international effort that produces world-class results. And the
United States does more than its fair share. Like most Winter
Olympics, Americans probably won't win the most medals. And America
won't get a lot of credit for the security it brings to Europe. But
because of America's initiative and the extensive international
cooperation it has enlisted, there is every reason to hope that
professional terrorists will be the real losers.
James
Carafano is a senior research
fellow for defense and homeland security at The Heritage
Foundation.
First appeared in The Hill