The federal government makes many demands on
us. It insists we pay taxes, for example. So the least we can
expect in return is honesty.
Unfortunately, when it comes to Social
Security, honesty is sorely lacking. Few policymakers are
willing to admit that Congress is responsible for a Social Security
benefits package it simply won't be able to pay for. And fixing the
problem is going to be costly and politically difficult.
Congress would have to raise almost $6 trillion today
in order to finance all the Social Security benefits it has
promised to pay between 2017 and 2080. That's more than twice what
the entire federal government will spend next year on all
programs, and it doesn't include the trillions of dollars in
payroll taxes Social Security will collect in the coming years.
Unless something changes, the money simply won't be
there.
President Bush
recently suggested two changes that would begin to address this
problem: He wants to update the Social Security benefits schedule
and allow workers to invest in Personal Retirement Accounts.
To achieve the first goal, the president recently
called on Congress to slow the growth of traditional Social
Security benefits for middle- and upper-class Americans. Opponents
immediately accused the president of wanting to "cut" benefits, but
that's not true.
Right now, the government uses an unsustainable
formula. Social Security benefits are tied to wage growth instead
of to inflation, so they increase more quickly than necessary. With
the president's proposal, the benefits of the wealthiest Americans
(those who earn more than $100,000 a year) would grow "only" at the
rate of inflation.
This would assure that nobody would suffer a true cut
-- even the richest Social Security recipients would be guaranteed
at least the same, inflation-adjusted level of benefits today's
retirees receive. Meanwhile, because benefits for the poorest
Americans would remain tied to wages, we'd ensure that they receive
proportionally higher benefits in years to come.
Let's remember that Social Security was advertised as
an insurance program, set up to make sure that elderly Americans
wouldn't be forced to live in poverty. And it has worked. Decades
ago, most people feared retirement. Once they were no longer able
to work and earn money, chances were they'd be dependent on their
relatives.
But today, most people look forward to retiring. And,
more important, they save up for it. Almost every middle-class
worker has an IRA and a 401(k) plan. They set aside some money from
every paycheck for their "golden years."
But lower-income Americans are far less likely to be
able to do that. By the time they make their housing payment, buy
food for the family, make the car payment and pay off the credit
cards, there's nothing left to invest. These are the people most
likely to depend on Social Security.
And that's where the president's second reform measure
-- the creation of Personal Retirement Accounts -- figures
in.
PRAs would let all workers invest a portion of their
payroll taxes into personal accounts they would own and control.
They would be similar to an IRA, except workers would be investing
their own tax money, and they would have only a handful of safe
bond and mutual funds to invest in. At retirement, a worker could
convert the entire account into an annuity or leave some of the
money invested to spend later or pass on to heirs.
Since workers could expect better returns from PRAs
than from the current Social Security system, they would be better
off in the long run. Plus, if Congress will allow PRAs and change
the way benefits are awarded to wealthier workers, the system can
be kept solvent for decades to come, and Washington could actually
keep its promises -- instead of eventually drowning all of us in a
sea of red ink.
Ed
Feulner is president of the Heritage
Foundation.